Strategy 3: CounterTrend 1 (“Gann OFR”)

Trading against the trend is difficult and risky, and yet, when properly controlled, can be profitable. That is why the setup for a Gann OFR trade requires several conditions. First, price must be testing key support or resistance. A pattern used in the “OFR 30” system needs to develop, then price must break the Gann HiLo line. When a position is taken, Gann OFR employs two profit targets as well as a trailing take-profit stop.

Gann OFR uses these Indicators on the 30-Minute Chart:

Pivot Calculator - Daily
FXS Adaptive Mvg Avg (5,2.0,0)
Gann Hi/Lo Activator - Gann HiLoA(7)

Chart 1: This CounterTrend Strategy uses three indicators.

Trend

An UP Trend is shown when price stays above a rising black Gann HiLo line, testing the Hi Band and sometimes exceeding it.

A DOWN Trend is shown when price stays below a falling black Gann HiLo line, testing the Lo Band and sometimes dropping below it.

Trade Entry

The steps for a Gann OFR buy or sell trade are listed below. Trade entry occurs when the currency retests the Gann HiLo line. After buy entry conditions occur, Gann OFR will buy if the market drops to the Gann HiLo line. When sell entry conditions occur, then GannOFR will sell if the market rises to retest the Gann HiLo line.

CT1 Gann OFR Buy Entry Rules:

1. Price tests key pivot support level and
2. Closes outside of the Lo Band and
3. Followed by a Close back inside the Lo Band.
4. Price must then close above the Gann HiLo line.
5. Buy on a retest of the Gann Hi Lo line.

In Chart 2, on October 10th a Sell Entry occurs at #5 in the EURJPY at 166.13.

CT1 Gann OFR Sell Entry Rules:

1. Price is trading near key pivot resistance and
2. Closes outside of the Hi Band and
3. Followed by a Close inside the Hi Band.
4. Price must then close below the Gann HiLo line
5. Sell on a retest of the Gann HiLo line

Trade Exit

It is not possible, in advance, whether a small or larger profit will develop. So two profit targets are used. Half profit can be taken at or beyond the FAMA Band (Hi Band for Buy Trades; Lo Band for Sell Trades). The second profit target is the next key support or resistance beyond the FAMA Band. The Gann HiLo line is used a trailing stop to keep losses small and also to let profits run, per below exit rules.

Profit Targets

1st Profit Target: Opposite FAMA Band
In a buy trade, exit half the position at the FAMA Hi Band or above.
In a sell trade, exit half of the position at the FAMA Lo Band or below.

2nd Profit Target: The Next Key Pivot Line
A buy trade can target the next key Pivot Resistance above the Hi Band.
A sell trade can target the next key Pivot Support below the Lo Band

Price Closes beyond Trailing Stop

The Gann Hi/Lo Activator (‘Gann HiLo’) is used as a Trailing Stop. If the strategy position is long, then the strategy exits if price closes below the Gann HiLo line. If the strategy is short, then it exit the position if price closes above the Gann HiLo line.

Chart 3. A Sell Trade takes half profit at the Lo Band, then exits the other half on a strategy Buy signal.

The example in Chart 3 shows a sell trade at 166.13, near R2(Daily) Resistance. Half profit was taken at 165.63, at the Lo Band. The second half of the position was closed at 165.61, when a Gann OFR buy trade occurred. Profit on the trade was 51 pips (166.13-165.62 [average exit price]).

Gann OFR Buy Exit Rules:
Exit a BUY Position if

1. A Profit Target is reached OR
2. Price closes below the Gann HiLo line

Gann OFR Sell Exit Rules:
Exit a Sell Position if

1. A Profit Target is reached OR
2. Price closes above the Gann HiLo line

Initial Stop Loss Order:
Controls trade risk. Establish before the trade. (See "Risk Controller".)

Risk Control

Go to Risk Controller. Input risk preferences to determine:

1. Stop Loss Order
2. Maximum Position Size

Use the Trade Strategy Worksheet to control, monitor and record the trade.

Continue Reading »