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Showing posts with label Moving Averages. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Moving Averages. Show all posts

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Strategy 2: Two Timeframes ("TC Experts")

This strategy uses the TC Expert indicator in Two Timeframes. The 1-Hour TC Expert is used to determines trend. The TC Expert on a 10-Minute Chart is used for Trade Entry and Exit.

When the 1-Hour TC Expert is bullish, for example, then Trend is UP, and the strategy will buy when the 10-Minute TC Expert turns bullish. The strategy exits a buy trade when the 10-minute Expert turns bearish, or when price closes below a Gann Hi/Lo line that is used as a trailing stop.

Indicators used in this strategy & their inputs:

1-Hour Chart: TC Expert (7,18,36,7)
10-Minute Chart:
TC Expert (7,18,36,7)
Gann Hi/Lo Activator - Gann HiLoA(7)

Chart 1. The TC Expert is composed of two separate indicators.

Trend

Trend is the direction of the TC Expert on the 1-Hour Chart. When the Schaff TC Expert is applied to the chart, two indicators appear, both a black Schaff Trend Cycle (‘STC’) and a green Schaff Trend RSI (‘STR’).
Chart 2. Trend changes are highlighted by the the red and blue vertical lines, after which the TC Expert indicator turns bearish and bullish, respectively.
Trend is UP when the TC Expert is bullish. The TC Expert is bullish when both the black STC and the green STR are rising above the lower red-dotted Buy line shown in Chart 2.
Trend is DOWN when the TC Expert is bearish. The TC Expert is bearish when both the black STC and the green STR are falling below the upper red-dotted Sell Line.

Trade Entry

The strategy uses the TC Expert and a Gann HiLo line on a 10-Minute Chart to time when to enter a trade. When Trend is UP the strategy will buy when price is above the Gann HiLo line and the 10-Minute TC Expert turns bullish. If Trend is DOWN the strategy sells when price is below the 10-Minute Gann HiLo line and the 10-Minute TC Expert turns bearish then the strategy sells.
Chart 3. With a DOWN Trend in place, a Sell Entry occurs on the 10-Minute Chart at 9:20 at 2.0387.
TC Expert Strategy: Buy Entry and Sell Entry rules:
BUY when 1-Hour Trend is UP and

  1. The 10-Minute TC Expert turns bullish and
  2. Price is above the Gann HiLo line
SELL when 1-Hour Trend is DOWN and
  1. The 10-Minute TC Expert turns bearish and
  2. Price is below the Gann HiLo line

Trade Exit

Various exit tactics are used, depending on how price could develop.
Trend Indicator Changes Direction
If the 1-Hour Trend changes direction then exit the trade.

Trade Entry Indicator Changes Direction
If the 10-Minute TC Expert changes direction then exit the trade.

Price Closes beyond Trailing Stop
The Gann HiLo line is used as a Trailing Stop on the 10-Minute Chart. If the strategy position is long, then exit if the 10-Minute price closes below the Gann HiLo. If the strategy is short, then exit if price closes above the Gann HiLo.

The chart below follows the GBPUSD trade shown in Chart 3.
Chart 4. The sell position exits when the 10-Minute TC Expert turns bullish.
The sell trade entered on October 3 at 9:20, at 2.0387, exited at 16:40, at 2.0313, when the 10-Minute TC Expert turned bullish (with both the STC and STR rising above 25). The result is a profit of 74 pips.
TC Expert Strategy: Buy Exit and Sell Exit rules:
Exit a BUY Position if one of the following situations occur
  1. Trend changes to DOWN, or
  2. The 10-Minute TC Expert turns Bearish, or
  3. Price closes below the Gann HiLo on the 10-Minute Chart.
Exit a SELL Position if one of the following situations occur
  1. Trend changes to UP or
  2. The 10-Minute TC Expert turns Bullish or
  3. Price closes above the Gann HiLo on the 10-Minute Chart.
Initial Stop Loss Order: Controls trade risk. Establish before the trade. (See "Risk Controller".)

Risk Control

Go to Risk Controller. Input risk preferences to determine:
  1. Stop Loss Order
  2. Maximum Position Size
Use the Trade Strategy Worksheet to control, monitor and record the trade.
Continue Reading »

Strategy One: Momentum 1

Momentum 1 is a short-term trend momentum strategy. Short-term means that this strategy can enter and exit several trades a day. It is a trend momentum strategy because it buys only when the Schaff Trend Cycle (‘STC’) is rising and sells only when the STC is falling. The strategy exits a trade when trend or price momentum slows down.

For example, MOM 1 will buy into an uptrending market as it accelerates. And it will exit that trade when the speed of the uptrend slows down. The reverse holds true for a sell trade. MOM 1 will sell into a downtrend as it accelerates. It will exit a sell trade when the speed at which prices are falling slows down.

Indicators used in this strategy & their inputs:

Schaff Trend Cycle - STC(5,7,13)
Simple Moving Averages – Two Lines, SMA(3) and SMA(5)
FXS Trend Oscillator - TrendOscl(2)

Trend

This strategy uses a fast moving Schaff Trend Cycle (‘STC’) on a 1-Hour Chart to indicate Trend. The STC moves between 0 and 100. Trend is the direction of the “fast” STC.
UP: Trend is considered to be UP when the STC is rising or at 100.

Chart 1. Momentum 1 uses three strategy indicators.
DOWN: Trend is DOWN if the STC is falling or is equal to zero.

Trade Entry

The strategy uses two fast moving Trade Entry indicators to fine-tune when to buy or sell: Simple Moving Averages – Two Lines and the FXS Trend Oscillator (‘TrendOscl’).
The moving averages are considered bullish when the faster black SMA(3) is rising and above the green SMA(5), and bearish when the SMA(3) is falling and below the green SMA(5).
FXS Trend Oscillator crosses above and below zero. The green ‘TrendOscl(2)’ line is bullish when it is above zero and rising. It is considered bearish when it is below zero and falling.

Chart 2. A Buy Entry occurs at 1.4186, at 8:00, when all three strategy indicators became bullish.
Here are the Buy Entry and Sell Entry rules:
BUY when Trend is UP and:
  1. The black SMA(3) above the green SMA(5) and
  2. The green Trend Oscillator line is above zero and rising
SELL when Trend is DOWN and
  1. The black SMA(3) is below the green SMA(5) and
  2. The green Trend Oscillator line is below zero and falling

Trade Exit

Various exit tactics are used, depending on how price could develop.
Profit Target:
  1. Exit Buy Position if price trades at Key Resistance target and TrendOscl crosses below zero.
  2. Exit Sell Position if price trades at Key Support target and TrendOscl crosses above zero.
Strategy Indicators Changes Direction:
If the Trend Indicator changes direction then exit the trade. If both of the Trade Entry indicators change direction then exit the trade.

Chart 3. Buy Trade exits after Trend changes to DOWN.
Exit a BUY Position if
  1. Trend changes to DOWN
  2. OR
  3. Both Trade Entry indicators change to Bearish
Exit a SELL Position if
  1. Trend changes to UP
  2. OR
  3. Both Trade Entry indicators change to Bullish.
Initial Stop Loss Order: Controls trade risk. Establish before the trade. (See "Risk Controller".)

Risk Control

Go to Risk Controller. Input risk preferences to determine:
  1. Stop Loss Order
  2. Maximum Position Size
Use the Trade Strategy Worksheet to control, monitor and record the trade.
Continue Reading »